Application of Some Models For Planning

Since the beginning of 1965, the Operations Research Center at the Institute of National Planning initiated the formation of a specialized research group dedicated to model-building for development planning purposes. The aim was to design a series of models, each addressing specific development issu...

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主要作者: M. El-Imam, mohmed.
出版: INP 2025
在線閱讀:http://repository.inp.edu.eg//handle/123456789/6251
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總結:Since the beginning of 1965, the Operations Research Center at the Institute of National Planning initiated the formation of a specialized research group dedicated to model-building for development planning purposes. The aim was to design a series of models, each addressing specific development issues, providing detailed descriptions and analyses of their potential policy applications, and developing computer programs to enable their direct operation. Although model-building activities were not new to the Institute—with prominent contributions from experts such as Professor Ragnar Frisch—these efforts underscored the significance of this scientific approach as an accurate tool for understanding planning challenges. They also highlighted the need for multidisciplinary teams encompassing economics, statistics, mathematics, and technology, in addition to the availability of large, systematically organized datasets and high-speed computers to process results and enhance data quality. In this context, researchers at the INP examined the models proposed by the United Nations Committee on Development Planning for application in developing countries. Despite their simplicity, these models revealed important features of Egypt’s annual plans and opened the door to exploring scenarios such as doubling national income within a defined timeframe. Although these attempts remained at a preliminary stage, they represented a foundational step towards the development and use of more sophisticated models, inspired by the work of Tinbergen and Frisch, thereby strengthening the INP’s capacity to employ modern modeling tools in support of development planning.